Real Murcia Imperial vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
IND
4 - 0
IMP
38%
25%
38%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
IMP
3 - 0
MAZ
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
PIN
1 - 2
IMP
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
IMP
3 - 1
JUM
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 2
IMP
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
LOR
4 - 0
LAS
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
MOL
0 - 2
LOR
15%
21%
65%
|
53 | 17 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
LOR
4 - 2
LOR
73%
16%
10%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CDB
1 - 2
LOR
13%
21%
66%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 0
BFC
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |