Real Murcia Imperial vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
CEU
0 - 0
IMP
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
IMP
13%
22%
66%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 3
IMP
19%
24%
56%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
IMP
3 - 0
AGU
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CIE
1 - 1
IMP
41%
26%
34%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LOR
4 - 0
MIN
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
LOR
3 - 0
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
YEC
2 - 0
LOR
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 3
LOR
13%
20%
67%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
BAL
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |