Real Murcia U19 B vs Lorca CFB U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+85%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
5º
4º
51
6º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 54 |
6º
|
80.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
90% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
80.5% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
UCA
2 - 2
REA
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
REA
3 - 0
CDM
81%
12%
6%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 2
REA
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
REA
3 - 0
ARC
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FUT
1 - 0
REA
22%
21%
57%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca CFB U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LOR
2 - 2
CAR
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ARC
1 - 1
LOR
20%
22%
58%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FUT
1 - 1
LOR
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LOR
4 - 2
CIE
27%
21%
52%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PIN
2 - 1
LOR
68%
18%
15%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |