SS Real Montecchio vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Real Montecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
MDC
1 - 2
SRM
49%
24%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SRM
1 - 1
CSL
20%
24%
57%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PRO
3 - 0
SRM
71%
19%
11%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 1
SRM
63%
23%
14%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SRM
2 - 0
SDC
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
REC
3 - 0
SDC
55%
24%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
RCA
3 - 0
REC
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
REC
0 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
36%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
REC
0 - 1
CAM
22%
25%
53%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
UST
0 - 3
REC
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |