SS Real Montecchio vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Real Montecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OLY
1 - 0
SRM
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SRM
0 - 0
EPD
35%
26%
39%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
GRC
3 - 1
SRM
34%
26%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 0
SRM
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SRM
0 - 0
ATL
24%
25%
52%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FAN
2 - 0
SDC
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RCA
0 - 0
FAN
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FAN
4 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 5
FAN
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
FAN
0 - 0
UST
69%
18%
12%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |