Real Monarchs vs FC Tulsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARI
0 - 1
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
SPK
32%
26%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
COL
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
SEA
4 - 1
MON
53%
23%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
FC Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OKC
1 - 0
TUL
69%
19%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TUL
0 - 2
OKC
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
TUL
0 - 5
RGV
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
TUL
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
TUL
1 - 2
ORA
51%
23%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |