Real Monarchs vs Houston Dynamo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
69%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
NOT
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 0
MON
76%
15%
8%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SPK
4 - 2
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
STL
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
MON
45%
22%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 1
HOU
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
HOU
2 - 0
COR
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
TAC
4 - 1
HOU
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NOT
2 - 3
HOU
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
HOU
4 - 1
POR
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |