Real Monarchs vs Fresno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
LOU
0 - 1
MON
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
SPK
3 - 2
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
RGV
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
SAC
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
MON
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fresno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
COL
1 - 0
FFC
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
FFC
4 - 1
SPK
45%
26%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
FFC
0 - 1
SAC
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
REN
1 - 1
FFC
59%
22%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
LAN
2 - 0
FFC
86%
11%
4%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |