Real Monarchs vs Fresno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2018 |
MON
4 - 1
SPK
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
ORA
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
LVG
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TAM
2 - 0
MON
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
SEA
1 - 3
MON
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fresno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2018 |
FFC
2 - 2
RGV
61%
22%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
USA
2 - 1
FFC
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ARI
1 - 1
FFC
48%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
FFC
0 - 0
USA
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
FFC
2 - 2
TUL
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |