Real Monarchs vs Austin FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
TAC
2 - 2
MON
73%
16%
10%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 1
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
MON
1 - 3
STL
18%
22%
61%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
VAN
2 - 3
MON
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
HOU
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Austin FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
AFC
2 - 4
STL
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
AFC
4 - 1
LAF
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 0
SPK
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
POR
1 - 1
AFC
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
NOT
1 - 2
AFC
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +2 |