Real Monarchs vs Austin FC II analysis

Real Monarchs Austin FC II
56 ELO 58
5.3% Tilt -0.9%
3821º General ELO ranking 3592º
74º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
47.9%
Real Monarchs
25.2%
Draw
26.8%
Austin FC II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
Real Monarchs
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.8%
Win probability
Austin FC II
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Monarchs
+10%
+11%
Austin FC II

ELO progression

Real Monarchs
Austin FC II
The Town FC
Houston Dynamo II
Portland Timbers II
Sporting Kansas City II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Monarchs
Real Monarchs
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2025
TAC
Tacoma Defiance
2 - 2
Real Monarchs
MON
74%
16%
10%
56 65 9 0
13 Jul. 2025
MIN
Minnesota United II
2 - 1
Real Monarchs
MON
50%
24%
26%
56 57 1 0
07 Jul. 2025
MON
Real Monarchs
1 - 3
St. Louis II
STL
18%
22%
61%
57 72 15 -1
30 Jun. 2025
VAN
Vancouver Whitecaps II
2 - 3
Real Monarchs
MON
50%
24%
27%
56 56 0 +1
16 Jun. 2025
MON
Real Monarchs
1 - 1
Houston Dynamo II
HOU
38%
25%
37%
56 61 5 0

Matches

Austin FC II
Austin FC II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jul. 2025
AFC
Austin FC II
2 - 4
St. Louis II
STL
29%
25%
46%
58 72 14 0
05 Jul. 2025
AFC
Austin FC II
4 - 1
Los Angeles FC II
LAF
50%
25%
25%
57 51 6 +1
28 Jun. 2025
AFC
Austin FC II
1 - 0
Sporting Kansas City II
SPK
47%
25%
29%
57 51 6 0
21 Jun. 2025
POR
Portland Timbers II
1 - 1
Austin FC II
AFC
50%
24%
26%
57 51 6 0
15 Jun. 2025
NOT
North Texas
1 - 2
Austin FC II
AFC
71%
18%
11%
55 71 16 +2