Real Monarchs vs Austin FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
POR
2 - 3
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
MON
1 - 4
STL
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 0
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MON
3 - 3
LAG
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 0
MON
7%
13%
81%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | -3 |
Matches
Austin FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 0
AFC
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
AFC
4 - 0
POR
21%
19%
60%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +3 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
STL
0 - 1
AFC
84%
11%
4%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
VAN
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | +5 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 0
MON
7%
13%
81%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | +7 |