Real Monarchs vs Austin Bold analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
52.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
COL
16%
20%
65%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RGV
3 - 0
MON
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
EPL
1 - 0
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
NYO
33%
22%
45%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NMU
2 - 1
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Austin Bold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
BLE
3 - 1
AUB
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
AUB
1 - 1
OKC
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
AUB
1 - 0
TAC
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
COL
3 - 1
AUB
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
AUB
2 - 2
EPL
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |