Progreditur Marcianise vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
REA
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
REA
1 - 0
BIS
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PIC
0 - 0
REA
31%
22%
47%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
REA
1 - 0
SSM
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
POM
0 - 1
REA
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 0
SER
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RPO
0 - 0
FRA
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 1
TAR
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 0
FRA
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
SSE
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |