Progreditur Marcianise vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
COS
1 - 1
REA
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
RIM
2 - 0
REA
71%
18%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
REA
0 - 0
CAV
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
REA
1 - 3
RAA
75%
17%
9%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
USF
1 - 3
REA
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 2
ASA
70%
20%
10%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PES
1 - 1
VIR
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 0
POT
57%
26%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
GIU
2 - 2
VIR
23%
28%
50%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
COS
0 - 0
VIR
26%
28%
47%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |