Progreditur Marcianise vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
REA
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
REA
0 - 1
CAV
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
PES
1 - 1
REA
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
TAR
1 - 0
REA
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
REA
3 - 1
CRO
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 0
PES
33%
28%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 2
VIR
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAV
1 - 0
VIR
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 0
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
POT
2 - 0
VIR
39%
28%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |