Progreditur Marcianise vs Serpentara Bellegra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 1
REA
59%
22%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 1
REA
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
REA
3 - 0
GAL
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NAR
0 - 0
REA
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
REA
1 - 3
RPO
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Serpentara Bellegra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
GAL
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
RPO
4 - 1
SER
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SER
0 - 0
TAR
14%
21%
65%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
APR
3 - 2
SER
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
NAR
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |