Progreditur Marcianise vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
TAR
2 - 0
REA
55%
24%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
VIT
2 - 1
REA
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
REA
0 - 0
COS
26%
27%
46%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
VIT
2 - 1
REA
31%
27%
43%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
REA
1 - 1
ASA
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
NOC
0 - 0
VIT
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
COS
2 - 1
NOC
69%
20%
11%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
NOC
1 - 0
ASA
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
SSC
0 - 0
NOC
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
POT
2 - 1
NOC
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |