Progreditur Marcianise vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
TAR
3 - 1
REA
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
MAT
0 - 1
REA
21%
26%
54%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
REA
0 - 0
MON
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
REA
4 - 1
GEL
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GLA
2 - 2
REA
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
NAR
0 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
POT
0 - 3
NAR
31%
28%
41%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NAR
2 - 1
BAT
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
TAR
4 - 1
NAR
74%
19%
7%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NAR
0 - 1
USF
17%
22%
61%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | -1 |