Progreditur Marcianise vs Modica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SSC
3 - 1
REA
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
REA
1 - 0
ASC
35%
26%
38%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
GAL
1 - 1
REA
74%
16%
9%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
REA
0 - 1
NOC
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
TAR
2 - 0
REA
55%
24%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VIT
2 - 1
MOD
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 1
GAL
17%
24%
60%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
VIG
2 - 0
MOD
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 1
LAT
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
FCI
2 - 0
MOD
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |