Progreditur Marcianise vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GLA
2 - 2
REA
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
REA
6 - 0
GRO
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
PUT
0 - 0
REA
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
REA
1 - 1
SSE
82%
13%
6%
|
58 | 24 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BRI
2 - 0
REA
18%
25%
57%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TAR
1 - 0
GEL
72%
19%
9%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GEL
3 - 2
MON
30%
27%
44%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 1
GEL
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 0
GEL
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GEL
1 - 0
GLA
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |