Progreditur Marcianise vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
FCI
3 - 0
REA
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
VIG
1 - 1
REA
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
REA
1 - 1
ASC
42%
27%
30%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
ASN
0 - 0
REA
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
REA
2 - 1
GEL
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ASM
2 - 1
VAL
51%
26%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ASM
2 - 0
USV
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ASM
2 - 1
FCI
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
ASA
2 - 3
ASM
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ASM
1 - 1
BEN
28%
29%
44%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |