Progreditur Marcianise vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
VIG
1 - 0
REA
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
REA
3 - 1
FCC
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ASA
1 - 0
REA
53%
24%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
REA
1 - 1
FCI
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
USV
2 - 0
REA
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
ASM
1 - 0
PRO
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
VAL
2 - 1
ASM
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ASM
1 - 0
FCC
30%
28%
42%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
SSC
0 - 0
ASM
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
ASM
0 - 4
VIG
38%
26%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |