Real Madriz vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
62.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
WAL
3 - 0
REA
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CDS
2 - 3
REA
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
REA
1 - 3
MAN
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
DIR
4 - 0
REA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
JAP
0 - 1
REA
33%
26%
40%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
CDS
4 - 4
EST
21%
27%
52%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
DIR
45%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
DIR
1 - 0
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
WAL
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 4
EST
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |