Champions League . Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Real Madrid vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATH
75%
17%
8%
|
100 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
OSA
2 - 4
RMA
9%
17%
75%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RMA
4 - 0
CEL
81%
14%
6%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
RMA
1 - 1
RBL
68%
18%
14%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VCF
2 - 2
RMA
10%
19%
71%
|
100 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CRY
2 - 4
MAC
7%
15%
78%
|
100 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 1
ASV
82%
13%
6%
|
100 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
ARS
70%
17%
12%
|
100 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 0
NEW
86%
10%
4%
|
100 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 1
MAC
34%
23%
43%
|
100 | 100 | 0 | 0 |