Real Madrid vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.3%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
ATH
0 - 1
RMA
21%
24%
55%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
RMA
3 - 1
RAC
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
BRE
3 - 2
RMA
34%
25%
41%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 1
RMA
14%
22%
65%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
RMA
4 - 3
MLL
76%
15%
8%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CAT
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
INT
3 - 0
LAZ
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
SIE
1 - 1
LAZ
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
LAZ
1 - 2
OLP
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PAR
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |