Real Madrid vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.8%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.4%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.9%
2.2%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 3
RMA
15%
23%
63%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
RMA
7 - 0
MAL
89%
8%
3%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 0
RMA
13%
22%
65%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
LYO
1 - 1
RMA
28%
26%
46%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
RMA
2 - 0
LEV
90%
7%
3%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
ALM
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
HER
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
GET
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SEV
1 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
ZAR
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |