Real Madrid vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ELC
1 - 2
RMA
7%
16%
76%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
RMA
0 - 0
OSA
78%
15%
8%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
45%
23%
32%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SHA
0 - 5
RMA
16%
22%
62%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 1
RMA
12%
19%
69%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SHA
4 - 1
DES
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 3
SHA
16%
23%
60%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VOR
0 - 2
SHA
27%
25%
49%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SHA
0 - 5
RMA
16%
22%
62%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
SHA
6 - 1
ZOR
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |