Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
20.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
RMA
3 - 1
S04
88%
9%
4%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MAL
0 - 1
RMA
7%
14%
79%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RMA
3 - 0
LEV
92%
6%
2%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 2
RMA
19%
21%
60%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
S04
1 - 6
RMA
11%
17%
72%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FCB
7 - 0
OSA
92%
6%
2%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
FCB
2 - 1
MAC
71%
17%
13%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
VAD
1 - 0
FCB
6%
14%
80%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FCB
4 - 1
ALM
92%
6%
2%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
RSO
3 - 1
FCB
10%
17%
73%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |