Supercopa . Final
Global 4-5Real Madrid vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
TIT
0 - 6
RMA
11%
19%
70%
|
95 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 7
RMA
16%
21%
63%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LEI
1 - 2
RMA
12%
20%
68%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
HER
1 - 3
RMA
13%
21%
65%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
PHU
1 - 2
RMA
6%
15%
79%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
FCB
0 - 3
ESP
85%
11%
4%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
AME
0 - 2
FCB
3%
12%
85%
|
96 | 7 | 89 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
CHI
4 - 1
FCB
10%
19%
71%
|
96 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
MUD
2 - 1
FCB
43%
25%
33%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
BYM
0 - 2
FCB
32%
25%
43%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | +1 |