Real Madrid vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
RMA
6 - 2
RAY
92%
6%
2%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 0
RMA
9%
17%
74%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 0
RMA
7%
16%
77%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
DZG
0 - 1
RMA
14%
20%
66%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
RMA
4 - 2
GET
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 1
TWE
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
NOO
1 - 3
AJA
9%
16%
75%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PSV
2 - 2
AJA
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 0
LYO
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |