Copa del Rey Juvenil Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Real Madrid U19 vs Espanyol U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
RMA
7 - 0
MLL
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MLL
2 - 1
RMA
20%
21%
58%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
RMA
1 - 3
PSG
47%
23%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 0
RMA
7%
12%
81%
|
47 | 14 | 33 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
RMA
1 - 0
GET
91%
7%
2%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
RCD
3 - 0
REA
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
REA
0 - 1
RCD
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
RCD
0 - 1
SEV
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
REA
3 - 5
RCD
22%
23%
56%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ZAR
0 - 2
RCD
15%
21%
65%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |