Real Madrid C vs Trival Valderas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
11º
1º
37
3º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
93% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CDM
0 - 1
RMA
33%
23%
45%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RMA
0 - 0
RVB
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 4
RMA
13%
17%
70%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RMA
5 - 0
GAL
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 2
RMA
14%
18%
69%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Trival Valderas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 0
RVB
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 3
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
LRZ
28%
26%
45%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 0
VAL
47%
27%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
URS
17%
23%
60%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |