Real Madrid C vs CDE Fuenlabrada Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
11º
1º
29
11º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
93% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 68% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 32% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
RMA
2 - 0
FUE
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CLA
1 - 1
RMA
14%
19%
68%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
RMA
1 - 1
TAJ
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 3
RMA
37%
23%
41%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
RMA
0 - 0
YEB
67%
19%
15%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CDE Fuenlabrada Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
CDE
2 - 3
ALC
43%
25%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ATB
3 - 1
CDE
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CDE
1 - 0
COL
84%
12%
4%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 2
CDE
15%
23%
63%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CDE
1 - 1
RVB
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |