Real Madrid C vs CD Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 1
RMA
23%
21%
57%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
RMA
1 - 2
MEX
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 3
RMA
7%
14%
79%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
TRJ
0 - 1
RMA
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
RMA
5 - 0
VAL
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 1
RMA
23%
21%
57%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 0
ALC
45%
25%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
URS
2 - 0
CDM
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 4
MEX
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
TRJ
0 - 0
CDM
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |