Real Madrid C vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
11º
1º
47
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
93% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 96.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GET
2 - 3
RMA
51%
22%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RMA
1 - 1
URS
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CDE
2 - 5
RMA
43%
23%
35%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MEX
1 - 1
RMA
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RMA
4 - 1
ARA
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
URS
21%
25%
54%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MEX
1 - 1
ALC
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 0
TRJ
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 1
CDM
33%
27%
41%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ATM
0 - 0
ALC
28%
25%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |