Real Madrid C vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
PBO
2 - 1
RMC
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
RMC
1 - 4
LEG
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
PEG
1 - 2
RMC
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
RMC
0 - 2
TRJ
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
COS
4 - 3
RMC
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
ARA
0 - 2
ORC
23%
25%
52%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
VAL
2 - 0
ARA
53%
24%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
ARA
0 - 2
FUE
23%
27%
51%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
STA
3 - 0
ARA
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
ARA
1 - 5
LRZ
25%
27%
48%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -2 |