Real Madrid C vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
CIE
0 - 3
RMC
27%
28%
46%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
RMC
3 - 0
COL
55%
25%
20%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
RVB
1 - 0
RMC
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
RMC
2 - 0
COL
46%
27%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
NAV
0 - 2
RMC
45%
26%
29%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
CAR
1 - 0
MEX
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
POZ
0 - 3
CAR
17%
26%
58%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
CAR
1 - 0
ADP
31%
27%
41%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
CDV
0 - 0
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAR
26%
28%
46%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |