Real Madrid C vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
MST
1 - 1
RMC
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
SFN
1 - 1
RMC
23%
24%
54%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
RMC
5 - 1
ARA
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
PEG
1 - 1
RMC
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
COL
0 - 1
RMC
17%
21%
61%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
RVB
3 - 2
COL
76%
17%
8%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
RVB
1 - 1
SSR
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
LRZ
1 - 0
RVB
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
RVB
2 - 2
ATM
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
ORC
1 - 4
RVB
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |