Real Madrid C vs AD Parla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PBO
0 - 0
RMC
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RMC
4 - 2
CDV
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PNT
1 - 4
RMC
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
RMC
1 - 0
ATM
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FUE
1 - 1
RMC
36%
28%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AD Parla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ADP
3 - 2
INT
46%
26%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MEX
2 - 0
ADP
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PBO
0 - 1
ADP
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ADP
2 - 0
CDV
67%
21%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PNT
0 - 1
ADP
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |