Royal AM vs Richards Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
26.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
14º
10º
33
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
6.5% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
34.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royal AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SSU
0 - 0
RKF
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RKF
1 - 1
MPU
32%
28%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SWA
1 - 2
RKF
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RKF
0 - 0
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
RKF
0 - 2
SUN
32%
29%
40%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Richards Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
RIB
42%
29%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RIB
1 - 0
TSG
37%
30%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
RIB
4 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 1
RIB
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
RIB
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |