Royal AM vs Richards Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
11º
11º
33
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royal AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SUF
1 - 2
RKF
29%
29%
43%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RKF
1 - 2
PIR
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
RKF
1 - 0
MAR
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RKF
2 - 2
MIL
51%
28%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
RKF
0 - 1
PIR
38%
28%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Richards Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 2
RIB
56%
26%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
RIB
0 - 1
SSU
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 0
RIB
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
RIB
1 - 0
SUF
37%
29%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
RIB
0 - 0
MIL
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |