Royal AM vs Mthatha Bucks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royal AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MIL
0 - 0
RKF
43%
25%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
RKF
3 - 0
MAG
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
THA
5 - 1
RKF
45%
24%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 1
RKF
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RKF
2 - 1
MBO
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mthatha Bucks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MTH
2 - 1
MBO
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALL
1 - 0
MTH
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MTH
2 - 2
BLA
37%
26%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COS
1 - 0
MTH
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MTH
2 - 2
AMA
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |