Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-2
Real Jaén vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
RJA
3 - 0
ELD
56%
26%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
CDB
1 - 0
RJA
65%
22%
13%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
XER
2 - 0
RJA
61%
22%
16%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
RJA
1 - 0
HEL
54%
26%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
CFC
5 - 1
RJA
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
BAL
3 - 3
XER
46%
29%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
XER
1 - 1
SFE
58%
26%
17%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
XER
2 - 0
RJA
61%
22%
16%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
ALM
1 - 0
XER
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
XER
1 - 0
POR
58%
26%
15%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |