Real Jaén vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
MEL
2 - 1
RJA
50%
24%
27%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
RJA
3 - 1
SEV
75%
15%
10%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
SFE
1 - 0
RJA
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
ELD
4 - 0
RJA
55%
21%
24%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
RJA
1 - 3
MUR
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1963 |
VAL
2 - 1
LEV
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
UDL
3 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1963 |
VAL
2 - 0
ELD
74%
14%
12%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
HER
3 - 0
VAL
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1963 |
VAL
3 - 0
CAD
55%
22%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |