Real Jaén vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
CAS
3 - 0
RJA
40%
25%
36%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
MAL
3 - 0
RJA
60%
20%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
RJA
3 - 0
PUL
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
CDT
4 - 0
RJA
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
RJA
0 - 0
SFE
61%
20%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1961 |
VAL
2 - 0
CEU
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
PUL
1 - 3
VAL
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
VAL
1 - 1
SFE
61%
20%
19%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
MUR
2 - 0
VAL
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
VAL
3 - 1
RAY
66%
19%
16%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |