Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-3
Real Jaén vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
RJA
9 - 0
GRA
52%
21%
27%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
ALC
1 - 2
RJA
70%
16%
14%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
RJA
2 - 0
RCD
44%
21%
35%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
RJA
3 - 0
CAA
74%
14%
12%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
RJA
3 - 3
CAD
78%
12%
9%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
MEL
2 - 1
VAL
62%
20%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
HER
5 - 0
VAL
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1952 |
VAL
5 - 1
LOG
79%
12%
8%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
SPO
1 - 1
VAL
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
ALC
2 - 2
VAL
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |