Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-1
Real Jaén vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
PUL
2 - 2
RJA
39%
24%
37%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
RJA
1 - 2
CDC
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
MAL
0 - 2
RJA
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
RJA
3 - 0
UDE
71%
16%
14%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
GRA
3 - 3
RJA
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
VCF
2 - 1
RMA
47%
22%
31%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
SEV
4 - 0
VCF
64%
18%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
VCF
5 - 1
VAD
76%
14%
11%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
ALA
3 - 3
VCF
36%
23%
41%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
VCF
4 - 2
FCB
44%
23%
33%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |