Real Jaén vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
8.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
GRA
0 - 4
RJA
37%
23%
41%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
REC
2 - 1
RJA
76%
13%
11%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
XER
3 - 1
RJA
66%
17%
17%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
RJA
5 - 1
MAL
77%
13%
10%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
UTR
3 - 1
RJA
51%
21%
28%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
UTR
0 - 2
CAD
74%
14%
12%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
ALG
0 - 1
UTR
70%
15%
15%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
UTR
1 - 2
MAL
70%
16%
14%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
UTR
4 - 0
GRA
77%
13%
10%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
CAD
2 - 0
UTR
61%
19%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |