Real Jaén vs Unión Estepona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 2
VIL
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
RJA
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
PON
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
PON
2 - 1
RJA
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
RJA
5 - 0
LEG
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Estepona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
CFB
63%
19%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CFB
3 - 2
EST
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
EST
4 - 0
CAS
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 4
EST
30%
26%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
ALM
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |