Real Jaén vs Marbella FC analysis

Real Jaén Marbella FC
38 ELO 43
-0.3% Tilt -27.7%
4922º General ELO ranking 2737º
173º Country ELO ranking 90º
ELO win probability
26.3%
Real Jaén
24.9%
Draw
48.8%
Marbella FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.8%
Win probability
Marbella FC
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Jaén
-31%
-2%
Marbella FC

Points and table prediction

Real Jaén
Their league position
Marbella FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
72
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Marbella FC
72
72
100%
Real Jaén
68
68
100%
El Palo FC
63
63
100%
UD Torre Del Mar
55
55
100%
At. Malagueño
45
45
0%
Huétor Vega
45
45
0%
Almería B
41
41
100%
UDC Torredonjimeno
41
41
0%
CF Motril
41
41
0%
Arenas de Armilla
10º
39
39
10º
100%
CD Torreperogil
11º
38
38
11º
100%
CD Huétor Tájar
12º
37
37
12º
100%
Maracena
13º
33
33
13º
100%
FC Málaga City
14º
25
25
14º
100%
Atletico Porcuna
15º
21
21
15º
100%
CD Huracán Melilla
16º
5
5
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Real Jaén
Marbella FC
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Real Jaén
Marbella FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2022
CDM
FC Málaga City
0 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
17%
22%
61%
36 20 16 0
07 Dec. 2022
HUE
CD Huétor Tájar
0 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
53%
23%
24%
36 36 0 0
03 Dec. 2022
RJA
Real Jaén
7 - 0
CD Huracán Melilla
CHM
90%
8%
3%
36 14 22 0
27 Nov. 2022
ALM
Almería B
0 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
58%
22%
20%
35 37 2 +1
20 Nov. 2022
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
At. Malagueño
MAL
50%
23%
28%
34 34 0 +1

Matches

Marbella FC
Marbella FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2022
MAR
Marbella FC
2 - 1
CD Huétor Tájar
HUE
70%
19%
12%
45 36 9 0
08 Dec. 2022
CHM
CD Huracán Melilla
0 - 1
Marbella FC
MAR
6%
12%
82%
45 13 32 0
04 Dec. 2022
MAR
Marbella FC
2 - 0
Almería B
ALM
66%
20%
14%
44 37 7 +1
27 Nov. 2022
MAL
At. Malagueño
0 - 0
Marbella FC
MAR
21%
23%
56%
45 33 12 -1
20 Nov. 2022
MAR
Marbella FC
3 - 0
Arenas de Armilla
ARE
82%
12%
6%
44 27 17 +1