Real Jaén vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
2º
72
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 0
RJA
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
HUE
0 - 0
RJA
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RJA
7 - 0
CHM
90%
8%
3%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 1
RJA
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAL
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
HUE
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
CHM
0 - 1
MAR
6%
12%
82%
|
45 | 13 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
ALM
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAL
0 - 0
MAR
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
ARE
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |